Energy
Q4 2025
- The Energy metatheme gained +1.29% QoQ in Q4 2025, shifting into a consolidation phase after the prior run-up while holding its longer-term uptrend.
- Leadership was narrow and rotational, with Solar Energy (+21.68% QoQ) and US Listed Oil Services 25 (+21.34%) leading the quarter.
- Global Clean Energy Transition ESG (+15.96%) also contributed positively to performance.
- Weakness in Global Nuclear Innovators (-12.60%), Hydrogen Economy (-4.19%), and North America Energy Infrastructure (-2.18%) capped the headline return.
- On a one-year basis, the barbell trend persisted, led by Global Nuclear Innovators (+130.30%), Uranium & Nuclear Energy Infrastructure (+88.25%), and Solar Energy (+67.76%).
- These segments remain standout long-term winners despite the quarter’s pullback in select nuclear and hydrogen-related names.
Energy Metatheme Indexes
Consumer Trends
Q4 2025
- The Consumer Trends metatheme fell -6.86% QoQ in Q4 2025, giving back part of its mid-year gains as performance rotated away from higher-beta digital leisure.
- Within the theme, defensive segments held up better, with Travel and Vacation (+6.31% QoQ) and US Profitable Consumer Discretionary (+1.71%) remaining positive.
- Online Gambling, Video Gaming, and eSports (-13.13%) led downside pressure during the quarter.
- Additional weakness was seen in Video Gaming & eSports (-12.32%) and Metaverse and e-Games (-9.30%).
Consumer Trends Metatheme Indexes
Financials 2.0
Q4 2025
- The Financials 2.0 metatheme declined -11.73% QoQ in Q4 2025, as the quarter was dominated by broad crypto and fintech de-risking following prior strength.
- Drawdowns were concentrated in Stablecoin Technology (-20.59% QoQ) and Digital Assets Equity (-11.45%), with additional pressure from Fintech (-5.25%) and Tokenization Technology (-4.27%).
- Pockets of resilience included Alternative Asset Managers (+3.38%), while E-Brokers & Digital Capital Markets (-2.37%) held up relatively better than crypto-native segments.
- Dispersion remained high at the single-name level, with winners led by BREAD Financial (+32.74%), Hut 8 (+31.97%), flatexDEGIRO (+31.93%), and DigitalBridge (+31.11%).
- The steepest declines were seen in higher-beta crypto-linked equities, including Bakkt (-70.16%), MARA (-50.82%), and Coinbase (-32.99%).
Financials Metatheme Indexes
Healthcare innovation
Q4 2025
- Healthcare Innovation gained +7.06% QoQ in Q4 2025, extending its rebound as the group pushed back toward prior highs.
- Performance breadth improved, led by Bioproduction Tech & Tools (+16.89% QoQ), with Future Healthcare (+5.85%) and Bionic Healthcare (+5.10%) also contributing.
- On a one-year view, Future Healthcare remains the clearest structural leader (+19.65% YoY), while other sleeves posted more modest gains.
- Single-name dispersion remained wide, with winners led by Arrowhead (+92.49%), Exact Sciences (+85.63%), and Tandem Diabetes (+81.05%).
- Weakness centered in select prior leaders and “story” names, including Intellia (-47.94%), Hims & Hers (-42.75%), and Doximity (-39.47%).
- Unusual-volume activity skewed toward diagnostics and sequencing names such as NeoGenomics, Twist, Exact Sciences, 10x Genomics, and Guardant, consistent with event-driven positioning into year-end.
Healthcare Innovation Metatheme Indexes
Materials
Q4 2025
- The Materials metatheme gained +12.68% QoQ, extending its sharp uptrend and building on the strong momentum visible in the three-year chart.
- Leadership skewed toward precious metals and energy-transition inputs, with Clean-Tech Metals (+24.99% QoQ), Junior Gold Miners (+21.57%), Rare Earth / Strategic Metals (+21.33%), and Global Gold Miners (+16.70%) outperforming.
- Cyclical breadth improved as Global Steel (+15.34%) and Global Natural Resources (+10.20%) participated, while Agribusiness (+2.58%) lagged.
- Stock-level dispersion remained wide, with winners strongly aligned to the theme, led by lithium and battery metals such as Sigma Lithium (+105.77%), Albemarle (+74.44%), Pilbara (+69.01%), Liontown (+61.37%), and SQM (+60.07%).
- Fertilizer and ag-chem exposures were among the weakest performers, including FMC (-58.76%) and Mosaic (-30.54%).
Materials Metatheme Indexes
Nextgen Hardware & Communications
Q4 2025
- The Hardware & Communications metatheme gained +2.86% QoQ in Q4 2025, extending its multi-year uptrend but with narrower leadership than earlier in the cycle.
- US Listed Semiconductor 25 (+16.02% QoQ) led the complex, alongside Machine Learning & Quantum Computing (+9.68%), US Profitable Communications (+7.85%), and Connective Technologies (+5.70%); Global Quantum Leaders (+4.05%) and US Listed Fabless Semiconductor (+1.46%) were positive but lagged.
- Dispersion remained extreme, with upside driven by Quantum Numbers (+227.84%), Coherent (+71.34%), and Micron (+70.58%).
- Higher-beta AI and quantum infrastructure names corrected, including CoreWeave (-47.67%), Quantum Computing Inc (-44.27%), and Arqit (-43.54%).
- Unusual volume clustered around AI “control points” such as Alphabet, Synopsys, Marvell, AMD, Qualcomm, Broadcom, and NVIDIA.
Nextgen Hardware & Communications Metatheme Indexes
Nextgen Software
Q4 2025
- The Next Gen Software metatheme declined -6.65% QoQ in Q4 2025, as gains in data/AI infrastructure were more than offset by a deeper pullback in adtech and higher-beta “AI narrative” names.
- In the subthemes, Big Data & AI (+4.48% QoQ) held up best and remains the longer-term leader at +27.73% YoY, while Artificial Intelligence (-8.28% QoQ; +13.38% YoY) and Digital Advertising (-12.30% QoQ; -14.62% YoY) drove the overall drawdown.
- Dispersion stayed wide at the single-name level, with upside leaders including BrainPad (+83.74%), Micron (+70.58%), Semrush (+67.94%), Confluent (+52.73%), and MongoDB (+35.22%).
- The sharpest declines were concentrated in higher-beta “AI infrastructure / sentiment” exposures, including Quanbox (-61.98%), CoreWeave (-47.67%), Domo (-46.78%), SoundHound (-38.00%), and Oracle (-30.70%).
- Unusual volume skewed toward event-driven smaller names plus select platform software, such as Confluent, Oracle, and Klaviyo.
Nextgen Software Metatheme Indexes
Regional Technology
Q4 2025
- Regional Technology declined -3.17% QoQ in Q4 2025, despite generally constructive performance across most regional sleeves. The key drag was China Internet Software (-10.77% QoQ), which more than offset gains in Digital India (+5.04%), Israel Global Technology (+3.05%), Asia Technology (+2.98%), and US Profitable Technology (+0.90%).
- Single-name dispersion was wide: leaders included Tower Semiconductor (+62.41%), Webit Nano (+60.59%), NVIDIA (+51.07%), and ASE Industrial (+45.18%), while weakness clustered in U.S. enterprise IT and select China/fintech exposures (Intuit -58.19%, Innoviz -58.18%, CDW -55.57%, Kingsoft Cloud -30.70%, Finvolution -29.04%).
Regional Technology Metatheme Indexes
Thematic Industrials & Infrastructure
Q4 2025
- The Industrials & Infrastructure metatheme gained +1.53% QoQ in Q4 2025, with performance led by Space Industry (+26.55% QoQ) and follow-through in Robotics (+9.63%) and Europe Infrastructure (+6.94%). More defensive sleeves were positive but muted (US AI & Power Infrastructure +3.18%, Circular Economy +2.46%, Global Environmental Services +0.84%, Defense Industry +0.59%), while Total Security (-3.25%) acted as the key offset.
- Single-name dispersion stayed wide: top contributors included Fluence Energy (+83.15%), Globalstar (+67.74%), Planet Labs (+51.93%), and Teradyne (+40.63%). On the downside, losses clustered in higher-beta/idiosyncratic names and select defense/industrial software (Nuscale -60.64%, American Superconductor -51.54%, Gogo -45.75%, Varonis -42.93%).
Thematic Industrials & Infrastructure Metatheme Indexes
Thematic REITs
Q4 2025
- REITs 2.0 declined -4.07% QoQ in Q4 2025, with weakness concentrated in the most rate- and cycle-sensitive segments. US Listed Office & Commercial REITs (-12.30% QoQ) and Top 10 US Residential Real Estate (-8.49%) drove the drawdown, while US Mortgage REITs (+2.87%) were a relative bright spot and Data Center & Logistics Real Estate (-0.18%) was essentially flat (but still +9.29% YoY).
- Dispersion remained high at the single-name level: leaders included Camden Property Trust (+32.57%), Invitation Homes (+32.57%), Outfront Media (+31.55%), and DigitalBridge (+31.11%), while the steepest declines clustered in retail/office and rate-exposed names (Kite Realty -60.64%, Sila Realty -60.64%, Hudson Pacific -43.94%, Alexandria -41.28%).